For the first time since 2008 I'll be in Las Vegas during football season. Over the last four years I've been to Vegas probably a dozen times but for some reason never during Fall. As you can imagine, I'm pretty excited. I've got visions of scenes from that terrible movie 21 running through my head. Getting comped with the high rollers suite, breaking the banks of casinos with my fool proof wagering, hanging out with Kevin Spacey, getting chased by a bloated Lawrence Fishburn. Eventually coming to my senses and realizing that Kate Bosworth's soft spoken acting technique is just a trick to cover up the fact she's incredibly boring (and kind of a butter face). Oh, what a trip this will be. Plus, I'll be reunited with The General and his wild drunken gambling. I fully expect to be asked to leave at least one sports book. A good time will be had by all.
Here's this week Red Hot Stone Cold Shoe In Locks!
(and by the way, I picked the G-men +3 last night on facebook while at the airport yesterday. I'd have put it up on the blog but I couldn't access it from my "smart"phone. You'll just have to trust me. And fuck that stupid fuckin phone)
BEARS -7 over Rams - The Ram's look halfway decent under Jeff Fisher but I have a feeling the Bears are looking to dish out a beating after last weeks laugher in Green Bay. My guess is the media is making way too much out of Jay Cutler's sulking and the team hasn't abandoned him in favor Jason Campbell.
Bills -2.5 over BROWNS - The Browns are better than their record. I'm certain of it. And I'm also certain they'll fall to 0-3 and be Way Better than their record next week.
COWBOYS -7.5 over Bucs - Let's start by saying I love Greg Schiano. He will absolutely turn the Bucs into a contender. That being said, the Cowboys have a whole lot of weapons and they tend to light it up at home. Eventually Schiano will own Little Opie Cunningham when it comes to NFL Coaching ability but right now his squads over matched.
Lions -3.5 over TITANS - The Titans simply can't score. The Lions can score as easily as a C-level celebrity returning for a class reunion. Throw in Chris Johnson tossing his O-line under the bus this week by complaining about his blocking and you've got a potential blow out on your hands.
COLTS -3 over Jags - I'm off the Blaine Gabbert bandwagon after just one week. That may be my shortest bandwagon ride of all time. The Andrew Luck bandwagon ride starts now!
Chiefs +10 over SAINTS - The Saints D is awful. Terrible. Can't stop anybody. The Chiefs can't really stop anybody either but believe it or not their defensive numbers are better than the Saints. Based on that completely weak reason and that reason alone I'll take Romeo Crannel on the road. Yikes.
CARDS +3.5 over Eagles - The Eagles might be the worst 2-0 team of all time. Followed closely by the 2-0 Cards. This may also be one of the worst meeting of undefeated teams. This is a trap game for the Eagles with a big game next weekend and a cross country road trip so - and I can't believe I'm saying this - I'm betting on Kevin Kolb!
Bengals +3 over SKINS - I'll be avoiding this game while in LV. I really have no idea which side to go on this game so I'm going with the team that I feel is from the stronger division. The Bengals are scrappy and with four games a year against the Ravens and Steelers they know how to get nasty.
VIKES +7.5 over Niners - On a neutral field or in San Fran this would be a Niners pick hands down. But I still like Christian Ponder and I think the Vikings can be surprisingly tough at home.
Jets pick'em over DOLPHINS - I'm shocked by this line. I don't think much of the Jets but apparently Vegas thinks even less of them. Maybe I'm missing something but I don't see how a W over an under performing Raiders team is worth so much more than an expected loss to a Steelers team. Has Tebow been named the starter and I missed it?
Falcons +3 over CHARGERS - I don't care how many times the pick blows up in my face I WILL NEVER PICK Norv Turner against legitimate playoff teams. I don't care if it's at home against a squad coming off the classic Monday Night Hangover.
Texans -1 over BRONCOS - The Broncos D is for real. Their O? I don't know if Manning just had a bad game or if the Falcons exposed a real problem in his post four neck surgeries passing ability. He looked like the same old Manning against the Steelers. So maybe it was the dome and the Falcons home crowd? Hard to know.
Steelers -3.5 over RAIDERS - I'm not too thrilled with the Steelers these days. Little to no run game, a shaky offensive line, a D that no longer dominates the line of scrimmage. This team is worse off than I thought before the season began. That being said, they are way way way better than the Raiders.
RAVENS -1 over Patriots - This is another BAFFLING line. How are the Ravens only giving up one point? They was robbed by the refs against Philly last week. They're playing a team they should have beaten in the AFC Championship last year. The Pats are banged up with limited offensive weapons. This game looks like a pummeling to me. Heavy action in Vegas for me on this one.
Packers -3 over SEAHAWKS - A friend of mine is pissed at me because I don't think his favorite team, the Seahawks, is any good. So this one's for you, Hanson: if the Seahawks win this game (not just cover but actually win) I'll pick them for the rest of the year. No matter how stupid it makes me feel or what it does to my weekly wins total. I'll even stop saying how bad a coach Pete Carroll is. That's how confident I am about the Packers in this game.
Here's this week Red Hot Stone Cold Shoe In Locks!
(and by the way, I picked the G-men +3 last night on facebook while at the airport yesterday. I'd have put it up on the blog but I couldn't access it from my "smart"phone. You'll just have to trust me. And fuck that stupid fuckin phone)
BEARS -7 over Rams - The Ram's look halfway decent under Jeff Fisher but I have a feeling the Bears are looking to dish out a beating after last weeks laugher in Green Bay. My guess is the media is making way too much out of Jay Cutler's sulking and the team hasn't abandoned him in favor Jason Campbell.
Bills -2.5 over BROWNS - The Browns are better than their record. I'm certain of it. And I'm also certain they'll fall to 0-3 and be Way Better than their record next week.
COWBOYS -7.5 over Bucs - Let's start by saying I love Greg Schiano. He will absolutely turn the Bucs into a contender. That being said, the Cowboys have a whole lot of weapons and they tend to light it up at home. Eventually Schiano will own Little Opie Cunningham when it comes to NFL Coaching ability but right now his squads over matched.
Lions -3.5 over TITANS - The Titans simply can't score. The Lions can score as easily as a C-level celebrity returning for a class reunion. Throw in Chris Johnson tossing his O-line under the bus this week by complaining about his blocking and you've got a potential blow out on your hands.
COLTS -3 over Jags - I'm off the Blaine Gabbert bandwagon after just one week. That may be my shortest bandwagon ride of all time. The Andrew Luck bandwagon ride starts now!
Chiefs +10 over SAINTS - The Saints D is awful. Terrible. Can't stop anybody. The Chiefs can't really stop anybody either but believe it or not their defensive numbers are better than the Saints. Based on that completely weak reason and that reason alone I'll take Romeo Crannel on the road. Yikes.
CARDS +3.5 over Eagles - The Eagles might be the worst 2-0 team of all time. Followed closely by the 2-0 Cards. This may also be one of the worst meeting of undefeated teams. This is a trap game for the Eagles with a big game next weekend and a cross country road trip so - and I can't believe I'm saying this - I'm betting on Kevin Kolb!
Bengals +3 over SKINS - I'll be avoiding this game while in LV. I really have no idea which side to go on this game so I'm going with the team that I feel is from the stronger division. The Bengals are scrappy and with four games a year against the Ravens and Steelers they know how to get nasty.
VIKES +7.5 over Niners - On a neutral field or in San Fran this would be a Niners pick hands down. But I still like Christian Ponder and I think the Vikings can be surprisingly tough at home.
Jets pick'em over DOLPHINS - I'm shocked by this line. I don't think much of the Jets but apparently Vegas thinks even less of them. Maybe I'm missing something but I don't see how a W over an under performing Raiders team is worth so much more than an expected loss to a Steelers team. Has Tebow been named the starter and I missed it?
Falcons +3 over CHARGERS - I don't care how many times the pick blows up in my face I WILL NEVER PICK Norv Turner against legitimate playoff teams. I don't care if it's at home against a squad coming off the classic Monday Night Hangover.
Texans -1 over BRONCOS - The Broncos D is for real. Their O? I don't know if Manning just had a bad game or if the Falcons exposed a real problem in his post four neck surgeries passing ability. He looked like the same old Manning against the Steelers. So maybe it was the dome and the Falcons home crowd? Hard to know.
Steelers -3.5 over RAIDERS - I'm not too thrilled with the Steelers these days. Little to no run game, a shaky offensive line, a D that no longer dominates the line of scrimmage. This team is worse off than I thought before the season began. That being said, they are way way way better than the Raiders.
RAVENS -1 over Patriots - This is another BAFFLING line. How are the Ravens only giving up one point? They was robbed by the refs against Philly last week. They're playing a team they should have beaten in the AFC Championship last year. The Pats are banged up with limited offensive weapons. This game looks like a pummeling to me. Heavy action in Vegas for me on this one.
Packers -3 over SEAHAWKS - A friend of mine is pissed at me because I don't think his favorite team, the Seahawks, is any good. So this one's for you, Hanson: if the Seahawks win this game (not just cover but actually win) I'll pick them for the rest of the year. No matter how stupid it makes me feel or what it does to my weekly wins total. I'll even stop saying how bad a coach Pete Carroll is. That's how confident I am about the Packers in this game.
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